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Table2 Patient characteristics and endoscopic interventions in the training and validation cohorts

From: Machine learning-based nomogram for 30-day mortality prediction for patients with unresectable malignant biliary obstruction after ERCP with metal stent: a retrospective observational cohort study

Variables

Total (n = 245)

Training cohort (n = 204)

Test cohort (n = 41)

Sex, n (%)

 Male

103 (42.041)

82 (40.196)

21 (51.22)

 Female

142 (57.959)

122 (59.804)

20 (48.78)

Age, Median (Q1,Q3a)

74 (65,80)

74 (64.75,80.00)

75 (65,79)

Obstruction site, n (%)

 Low obstruction

198 (80.816)

162 (79.412)

36 (87.805)

 High obstruction

47 (19.184)

42 (20.588)

5 (12.195)

Stent placement, n (%)

 One-stent placement

233 (95.102)

193 (94.608)

40 (97.561)

 Two-stent placements

12 (4.898)

11 (5.392)

1 (2.439)

Lymph node metastasis, n (%)

 No

135 (55.102)

110 (53.922)

25 (60.976)

 Yes

110 (44.898)

94 (46.078)

16 (39.024)

Distant metastasis, n (%)

 No

158 (64.49)

131 (64.216)

27 (65.854)

 Yes

87 (35.51)

73 (35.784)

14 (34.146)

Cholangitis before stent insertion, n (%)

 No

200 (81.633)

167 (81.863)

33 (80.488)

 Yes

45 (18.367)

37 (18.137)

8 (19.512)

Post-ERCP complications, n (%)

 No

177 (72.245)

145 (71.078)

32 (78.049)

 Yes

68 (27.755)

59 (28.922)

9 (21.951)

Child–Pugh class, n (%)

 A or B

223 (91.02)

186 (91.176)

37 (90.244)

 C

22 (8.98)

18 (8.824)

4 (9.756)

Type of malignancy, n (%)

 Gallbladder cancer

24 (9.796)

93 (45.588)

26 (63.415)

 Cholangiocarcinoma

63 (25.714)

24 (11.765)

0 (0)

 Ampullary cancer

24 (9.796)

56 (27.451)

7 (17.073)

 Other

15 (6.122)

19 (9.314)

5 (12.195)

 Pancreatic cancer

119 (48.571)

12 (5.882)

3 (7.317)

Ascites, n (%)

 No

168 (68.571)

140 (68.627)

28 (68.293)

 Yes

77 (31.429)

64 (31.373)

13 (31.707)

White blood cell count (109/L), Median (Q1,Q3)

6 (4.5,7.5)

6.02 (4.60,7.54)

5.8 (4.2,7.3)

Red blood cell count (1012/L), Mean ± SD

3.584 ± 0.605

3.617 ± 0.578

3.416 ± 0.711

Hemoglobin (g/L), Mean ± SD

110.429 ± 17.702

111.309 ± 17.167

106.049 ± 19.803

Platelet (109/L), Median (Q1,Q3)

187 (138,247)

183.5 (138.75,246.00)

207 (125,256)

TB (mg/dL), Median (Q1,Q3)

201.4(113.0,288.2)

198.55(115.40,288.05)

217.9(109.4,294.5)

ALT (u/L), Median (Q1,Q3)

85 (46,149)

82 (46.75,146.25)

97 (46,202)

AST (u/L), Median (Q1,Q3)

89 (52,145)

87.5 (52.00,141.75)

112 (64,146)

Albumin (g/L), Mean ± SD

34.59 ± 5.242

34.583 ± 5.226

34.622 ± 5.386

Creatinine (μmoI/L), Median (Q1,Q3)

64.8 (55.40,78.60)

64.65 (55.40,77.85)

66.3 (54.4,78.6)

PT (s), Median (Q1,Q3)

13.8 (13.0,14.7)

13.8 (12.9,14.7)

13.8 (13.1,14.9)

Successful drainageb, n (%)

 No

114 (46.531)

99 (48.529)

15 (36.585)

 Yes

131 (53.469)

105 (51.471)

26 (63.415)

30-day mortalityc, n (%)

 No

222 (90.612)

185 (90.686)

37 (90.244)

 Yes

23 (9.388)

19 (9.314)

4 (9.756)

  1. ERCP Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, TB Total bilirubin, ALT alanine aminotransferase, AST Aspartate aminotransferase, PT Prothrombin time
  2. Statistically significant with p < 0.05
  3. aInterquartile range
  4. bDefined by a decrease in TB of > 30% within 1 week after surgery or a decrease in TB close to the normal level (TB \(\le\) 17.1umol/l) in the later period
  5. cDefined by death within 30 days of ERCP