Variables | Total | Primary cohort | Validation cohort | P value |
---|---|---|---|---|
 | (n = 2929) | (n = 2050) | (n = 879) |  |
Basic demographics | Â | Â | Â | Â |
 Age, years | 68.6 (60.1–76.2) | 68.6 (60.0–76.2) | 68.9 (60.3–76.4) | 0.375 |
 Gender, female | 781 (26.7) | 539 (26.3) | 242 (27.5) | 0.516 |
Comorbidities, n (%) | Â | Â | Â | Â |
 CHF | 764 (26.1) | 540 (26.3) | 224 (25.5) | 0.661 |
 Renal failure | 209 (7.1) | 153 (7.5) | 56 (6.4) | 0.330 |
 Diabetes | 1110 (37.9) | 791 (38.6) | 319 (36.3) | 0.258 |
 Previous myocardial infarction | 551 (18.8) | 385 (18.8) | 166 (18.9) | 0.988 |
 Previous stroke | 40 (1.4) | 34 (1.7) | 6 (0.7) | 0.056 |
24Â h vital signs | Â | Â | Â | Â |
 Mean SBP, mmHg | 111.4 (105.8–119.0) | 111.4 (105.8–119.1) | 111.5 (106.0–118.8) | 0.542 |
 Mean DBP, mmHg | 56.1 (52.6–60.5) | 56.1 (52.6–60.4) | 56.3 (52.6–60.6) | 0.626 |
 Mean HR, beats/min | 85.2 (79.4–91.1) | 85.3 (79.5–91.1) | 85.0 (78.9–91.2) | 0.266 |
 Mean respiratory rate, beats/minute | 16.7 (15.0–18.8) | 16.7 (15.0–18.7) | 16.7 (15.1–18.9) | 0.528 |
 Mean MBP, mmHg | 74.3 (70.8–79.0) | 74.3 (70.6–78.9) | 74.4 (71.0–79.2) | 0.425 |
Laboratory parameters | Â | Â | Â | Â |
 Hemoglobin, g/dL | 10.0 (8.9–11.2) | 10.1 (8.9–11.3) | 10.0 (8.9–11.2) | 0.473 |
 WBC, 109/L | 11.9 (9.2–15.4) | 12.0 (9.2–15.5) | 11.6 (9.0–15.2) | 0.300 |
 Lactate, mg/dL | 2.2 (1.5–3.2) | 2.3 (1.6–3.2) | 2.1 (1.5–3.1) | 0.043 |
 Anion gap, mmol/L | 12.0 (11.0–14.0) | 12.0 (11.0–14.0) | 12.0 (11.0–14.0) | 0.650 |
 Phosphoric acid, mg/dL | 3.5 (2.9–4.1) | 3.4 (2.8–4.0) | 3.5 (3.0–4.2) | 0.025 |
 APTT, second | 35.5 (30.6–44.7) | 35.5 (30.5–44.7) | 35.4 (30.7–44.6) | 0.631 |
 BUN, mg/dL | 16.0 (12.0–20.0) | 15.0 (12.0–20.0) | 16.0 (12.0–20.0) | 0.884 |
 ALT, U/L | 25.5 (17.0–39.8) | 24.0 (17.0–40.5) | 26.0 (17.0–38.0) | 0.767 |
 AST, U/L | 44.0 (26.0–92.5) | 44.0 (26.0–91.0) | 46.0 (27.0–99.0) | 0.516 |
 PA, mg/dL | 3.5 (2.9–4.1) | 3.5 (3.0–4.2) | 3.4 (2.8–4.0) | 0.025 |
 Creatinine, U/L | 0.8 (0.7–1.0) | 0.8 (0.7–1.0) | 0.8 (0.7–1.0) | 0.742 |
 Platelet, 109/L | 158.0 (122.0–204.0) | 160.0 (123.0–205.0) | 156.0 (120.5–199.5) | 0.166 |
 Potassium, mmol/L | 4.3 (3.9–5.0) | 4.3 (3.9–5.0) | 4.3 (3.9–5.0) | 0.733 |
 Sodium, mmol/L | 137.0 (135.0–139.0) | 137.0 (135.0–139.0) | 137.0 (135.0–138.0) | 0.081 |
 PCO2 (mmHg) | 40.0 (37.0–45.0) | 40.0 (37.0–45.0) | 40.0 (37.0–44.0) | 0.816 |
 PO2 (mmHg) | 338.0 (261.0–403.0) | 335.0 (259.0–400.0) | 345.0 (268.2–410.8) | 0.060 |
 SpO2 (%) | 97.0 (78.0–98.0) | 97.0 (79.0–98.0) | 97.0 (78.0–98.0) | 0.169 |
 pH | 7.4 (7.4–7.4) | 7.4 (7.4–7.4) | 7.4 (7.4–7.4) | 0.726 |
In-hospital management, n (%) | Â | Â | Â | Â |
 Mechanical ventilation | 2771 (94.6) | 1940 (94.6) | 831 (94.5) | 0.988 |
 RRT | 46 (1.6) | 34 (1.7) | 12 (1.4) | 0.672 |
 Vasopressor use | 2473 (84.4) | 1733 (84.5) | 740 (84.2) | 0.854 |
 1-year mortality, n (%) | 203 (6.9) | 137 (6.7) | 66 (7.5) | 0.467 |
 3-year mortality, n (%) | 378 (12.9) | 265 (12.9) | 113 (12.9) | 1.000 |