Failure of available scoring systems to predict ongoing infection in patients with abdominal sepsis after their initial emergency laparotomy

Table 5 Predictive value comparing patients needing a reintervention (n = 82) with not needing reintervention and for inhospital mortality (n = 49).

	Score	AUC (95% CI)	P-value whether AUC different from 0.5
Reintervention (n = 82)
	APACHE-II	0.49 (0.41 to 0.57)	0.860
	SAPS-II	0.56 (0.48 to 0.64)	0.145
	MPI	0.52 (0.44 to 0.60)	0.666
	SOFA (day 1) ^a	0.55 (0.47 to 0.63)	0.205
	SOFA (day 2) ^b	0.57 (0.49 to 0.65)	0.088
	MODS (day 1) ^a	0.55 (0.47 to 0.63)	0.199
	MODS (day 2) ^b	0.53 (0.45 to 0.61)	0.469
	APS (day 1)a	0.60 (0.52 to 0.68)	0.019
	APS (day 2) ^b	0.53 (0.44 to 0.61)	0.531
Inhospital mortality (n = 49)
	APACHE-II	0.74 (0.65 to 0.82)	< 0.001
	SAPS-II	0.80 (0.73 to 0.87)	< 0.001
	MPI score	0.60 (0.52 to 0.69)	0.026
	SOFA (day 1) ^c	0.72 (0.63 to 0.81)	< 0.001
	MODS (day 1) ^c	0.76 (0.68 to 0.83)	< 0.001
	APS (day 1) ^c	0.68 (0.59 to 0.77)	< 0.001

^a patients deceased on day 0 (n = 2) and patient receiving relaparotomy on day 0 (n = 1) excluded
^b patients deceased on day 0 and 1 (n = 3) and patients receiving relaparotomy on day 0 and 1 (n = 13) excluded
^c patients deceased on day 0 (n = 2) and patient receiving relaparotomy on day 0 (n = 1) excluded

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